The impact of macroprudential policies on industrial growth

This paper analyzes the causal impact of macroprudential policies on growth, using industry-level data for 93 countries to overcome reverse-causality issues. Data on individual industries is required for identification, because national regulators care about the total GDP but not about the product of small economic sectors. I find that macroprudential tightening have a negative impact on manufacturing growth, especially in the long-term and for industries with high external finance dependence. This impact is stronger in periods of higher growth and for advanced economies. Supply of capital prudential policies have a larger impact on manufacturing growth.